World famous institutions Prismark company printed circuit board (PCB) market analysis of statistical results show that the PCB gross output value of $2012 in 54.31 billion, the gross output value of $55.409 billion, compared with the 2011 PCB reduced by 2.0%. In this paper, according to Prismark data released in February 2013, the comprehensive summary on the global PCB market in 2012, at the same time for the prediction of the future development of global PCB in the future.
Global &poor Asia accounted for 89%
2012 PCB production value year-on-year decline in each country/region, compared with 2011, 2012, the growth rate of 1.78%, China PCB PCB growth rate of 6.27% in Japan, European PCB growth rate of 8.20%, the PCB - 5.99% growth in the americas, Asia's other (with the exception of China and Japan) a 1.93% increase in PCB, PCB industry has become an industry in Asia. Asia PCB share reached 89% in 2012. Become electronics manufacturing superpower in China at the same time, global PCB production are off to China, since 2006, China will overtake Japan as the world's largest base of manufacturing PCB. From 2000 to 2010 to 2012, the Chinese PCB production value accounted for the proportion of the global increase from 8.2% to 38.1% and 39.8%.
If the conventional laminated to share more detailed (divided into 4 layer, 6, 8 ~ 16, 18 layers above), so, we can see that the 4 layer board growth - 11.7%, 6 layer board growth - 11.2%, 8 ~ 16 layer board growth rate of 5.2%, more than 18 layer plate growth rate of 2.7%, the growth rate is negative.
In terms of area, 2012 global PCB area of growth rate of 6.1%. One of the biggest growth rate remains flexible plate and HDI board, growth of 16.3% and 6.3% respectively, which is driven by smart phones and tablets market.
Compared with 2011, 2012-8.7% increase in output of single/double panel, sandwich plate output value increased to 9.1%, HDI board output has increased by 5.8%, flexible circuit board output increased by 17.2% at the same time, the packaging substrate production value increased to 4.7%. Growth is one of the biggest HDI board and flexible circuit boards, both for smartphones and tablets. The smallest is a multilayer. Used by different types of PCB sheet market is bound to corresponding, HDI using copper-clad r.p. panel and the rapid development of flexible copper clad laminates.
In 2012 compared with 2011 different application fields of PCB, used in automobiles PCB growth rate reached 3.7%, the growth of 7.4%, applied to communication applied to computer PCB production rose to 4.6%, applied to the growth of the consumer electronics - 10.0%, applied to industrial/medical growth - 8.1%, applied to military growth of 0.9%, applied to semiconductor growth to 4.7%. Applied to PCB growth and application of the car in the growth rate of communication is the largest.
In 2012, the world's top 25 PCB manufacturer rankings, the Japanese flag at the top, our country Taiwan hin hing group is the world's second, yi Fiji electricity was third in Japan, China Taiwan "ding was fourth, fifth, South Korea's samsung motor integral feeling is your I.
China will account for 44% in 2017 to transformation and upgrading
Throughout the 2012 global PCB industry, in general, keep moving to Asia (especially China), China PCB production has accounted for 55% of the whole Asia. In 2012, the Chinese mainland, PCB production and area are lower, but flexible plate, packaging substrate and the growth rate of HDI board is larger, are higher than the growth rate of global.
Data tells us that the global PCB will continue to migrate to Asia (especially China), in the past decade, China has quickly become electronic products and PCB production country. Throughout the development of PCB industry in recent 10 years, the Chinese mainland for domestic market potential and the advantage of low production cost, attracting foreign investment, in mainland China PCB industry presents the explosive growth in the space of a few years. In a multiple growth of China's PCB industry in recent years, varying from $2000 in 3.368 billion to $2012 in 21.6 billion, developing rapidly, has become the world's largest PCB production areas.
However, since 2007, China began to promote national industrial structure adjustment policy, with environmental protection laws and regulations, import and export trade laws and regulations to carry out the transformation of national future development key, from the "world manufacturing center" into the "world market". Policy to not only cause the increase in the cost of PCB industry, expanding factory limited, this phenomenon will also be another wave of industrial unrest. There are a lot of foreign investment has begun to consider "China plus one" strategy, that is actively seeking besides mainland China production base of another, to spread risk and reduce costs. Gradually mature Chinese PCB industry is expected to enter another development direction. After 10 years, China's strong economic growth will drive more consumer electronic products, also prompted China to continue to become the world's largest production base of PCB. However, due to the lack of labor, raw materials costs rise, coastal areas increasingly stringent environmental requirements, the influence of such factors as the continued development of the mainland China PCB will face some new problems.
Labor wage increases in China mainland, the rent is high, the environmental protection investment continues to increase, upgrading of the enterprise are increasing the cost of enterprise, taken together, the industry situation, it is imperative to shift to the mainland.
Predicted that China's continental PCB in 2012 ~ 2017 CAAGR will reach 6.0%, predict 2017 annual output value of $29 billion, accounts for about 44% of the world's $65.654 billion, continue to be the first.
In 2013, as the government have put forward China's economic development trend, China PCB industry must seize the time of transformation and upgrading. "The transformation and upgrading" will make Chinese PCB continue to place around the world.
Growth of 6% over the next five years in mainland China is the engine
According to the analysis of Prismark in 2013, the global electronic product was $1.991 trillion, relative growth rate of 4.3% in 2012, including computer, communication and consumer electronics accounted for two-thirds of the market. The 2013 global electronics production growth flat picks up, the 2017 global electronic product output value will reach $2.369 trillion. From 2012 to 2017 compound average annual growth rate of 4.4%, it is the key to the PCB market to predict the future development trend. Prismark forecast 2013 global semiconductor growth rate of 5.0% at the same time, predict global PCB growth rate of 3.2% in 2013, that is, global PCB production will reach $56.072 billion in 2013. Largest communications applications in the field of PCB increase in 2013, up to 6.5%.
Predict China PCB production will increase by 6.8% in 2013, Asia's other (with the exception of China and Japan) PCB production will increase by 8.0%, the growth rate of Japan, Europe and America continue to maintain a negative number.
From the area and types, forecast 2013 growth rate of the largest or HDI board and flexible plate.
From the perspective of the long-term development of 2012 ~ 2017, in an engine and the driving of the semiconductor, PCB markets around the world in the next five years will continue development.
According to country/region, as the domestic 3 c industry continues to expand, smart phones, tablets, green base station such as the rise of electronic terminals, and other will pull function on the PCB to produce powerful, promote the growth of the PCB industry. Prismark in February 2013, the report predicts that over the next five years China PCB industry will maintain rapid growth, in 2017 China PCB production will reach $29 billion, accounting for 44.1% of the global PCB production. China's GDP from 2012 to 2017 and electronic product will continue to maintain a high growth rate, which is to predict the future 5 years China PCB industry the main basis of high-speed growth.
2012 ~ 2017 in mainland China PCB compound annual growth rate to 6.0% of the market, mainland China continue to be a leading global PCB industry engine of growth. Japan due to continue to impact of the earthquake in March, 2011, 2012 ~ 2017 PCB compound annual growth rate was revised to 5.3% of the market, Asia's other CAAGR (with the exception of China and Japan) region is 6.4%, global PCB CAAGR was 3.9% in the next five years, macro situation to maintain positive growth.
If the PCB each application field of view, 2012 ~ 2017 CAAGR in automotive applications, for most, to 5.9%, followed by industrial/medical applications, up to 5.3%.
According to the different types of PCB, the next five years, flexible plate CAAGR will reach 7.7%, followed by HDI board, the two kinds of circuit board is one of the most promising, the main driving force is terminal electronic products such as smart phones and tablets.
According to the different PCB layer number of points, 4 layer PCB from 2012 to 2017, there will be no growth of 6 layers PCB almost no growth, 8 ~ 16 layer PCB CAAGR of 2.8%, more than 18 layer of PCB CAAGR (2.3%).
If in the area of the PCB, 2012 ~ 2017 global PCB CAAGR highest followed by flexible plate and HDI board, 9.2% and 8.9%, respectively.
International turmoil Japan decline continued to expand
Japanese PCB manufacturers think grasp core technology is their competitive advantage, therefore, try to keep the advanced technology in Japan, and mass production of low technology content of PCB moved to other areas of low manufacturing cost. Development of high and new technology is the key to the Japanese industry, which not only for the survival of PCB industry in Japan, what is more important to long-term development. Today, Japanese companies in HDI board, IC load board, flexible plate manufacturing is a global leader.
According to Prismark analysis and forecast in February 2013, 2012, Japanese PCB output fell 6.3%, forecast in 2013 by 9.7%. Obviously, the strong earthquake occurred in Japan in March of 2011 after 2011 Japanese PCB market has a big influence.
Back in 2012, the global economy is influenced by the European debt crisis, the two major consumer body slow recovery in the us and Europe, lead to the economic performance is generally a downward trend, even the GDP in recent years, leaders of China failed to protect. Yet as governments and political stability, and to introduce economic revitalization plan, the market boom in 2013 is expected to rebound from the bottom of the first quarter fell, Chinese economy will be improved further. In addition, from the end of 2012, including Apple brand factory launch new smart phones, tablet computer and doing terminal products such as notebook computers, which also makes used as high order products essential FPC demand increase, in the whole PCB industry growth is most bright eye.
The international financial crisis, the world economic situation. 2012 is quite a revealing one year, economic leaders change constantly, political leaders have welcomed the election, many factors impact the PCB industry chain, but in the long run, the development of the electronic information industry prospects.
It is predicted that in 2013 the global economy will be a moderate improvement in 2012. The main growth momentum remains from mainland China economy growth and emerging market countries. Global PCB market growth rate of 2.0% in 2012, forecasts the global PCB market in the next five years will maintain a single-digit growth, smart phones, tablet computers, terminals, such as cloud computing will drive the further development of the global PCB.
