By the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis evolved into the international financial crisis, has caused serious deterioration of the global economic environment. Electronic information industry as a basic component of the printed circuit board (PCB) industry, have also been tumbled. PCB market disastrous decline rapidly, make industry has entered a "market freeze period". PCB market research firm Prismark forecast 2009 electronic industry as a whole under the growth rate will reach 14.2%, the 2009 global PCB GDP will decline 16.4% than in 2008, after a 20.1% decline in 2001, this will set in the past 20 years, the second largest drop on record.
The global PCB industry presents the negative growth
Global PCB manufacturer in 2008 a total of 2008, according to Prismark in March 2009, market analysis, relative to 2007, global PCB output value of $48.23 billion in 2008, growth rate of 1.1%, a multilayer, microporous plate, flexible circuit board have trace growth, other types of PCB were negative. But global PCB output in 2009 will be a mere $40.314 billion.
Electronic machine output $2008 in 1.64 trillion, compared with 2007, the annual growth rate of 2.67%. PCB 2008 growth rate of 1.1%, statistics show that calendar year growth rate of PCB and electronic growth rate of the whole machine has good uniformity. Therefore, predict the electronic machine is able to predict the trend of the market of PCB. Prismak forecast electronic machine output value will reach $2009 in 1.407 trillion, annual growth rate of 14.2%, predicting PCB production will amount to $2009 in 40.314 billion, annual growth rate of 16.4%, both fell by around 15%. Forecast in 2008 ~ 2013 of electronic machine compound average annual growth rate of 3.1%, 2008 ~ 2013 of PCB compound average annual growth rate of 3.6%.
The number one cause of the 2008 global PCB NipponMektron manufacturing enterprises, is the world's largest flexible plate it in Japan, China Taiwan, mainland China, Thailand, Germany and the Czech republic have the factory. 2008 global PCB's second Ibiden years has topped the global PCB manufacturing enterprise production the first place, the company's production is $2007 in 1.82 billion. It now Malaysia penang to build a microporous plate factory, with a total investment of 350 million dollars, first phase investment of about $200 million m; In the Philippines expand chip substrate capacity; A $400 million investment to build IC loading board in Japan. When these capacity after out, estimates that in the next few years, the output will reach $2.5 billion. Ranks third in the 2008 global PCB Unimicron (taiwan-owned hin hing electronic) is the world famous mobile phone board manufacturing company, has been established in suzhou Unimicron IC board factory and B2it factory, Unimicron Taiwan factory is continued to expand production capacity in our country, and has decided to build a new factory in southern Vietnam - xin xing with Thai, Unimicron through - series of mergers and acquisitions and its expansion also step by step become a big company. That Taiwan and mainland China have several factories in China, including shenzhen union can science and technology is the most powerful PCB factory in China, mainly producing HDI (high density board) high-end of the circuit board. The 2008 global PCB top 20 $19.205 billion leading companies, accounting for 39.8% of the global PCB gross output value of $2008 and $48.23 billion. The general development trend is strong, stronger, evergrande.
From the application field of PCB, consumer electronic products with varieties of PCB is one of the biggest growth rate in 2008 (compared with 2000, 2008/2000 in the following), 38.3%; Followed by the computer/office supplies, 2008/2000 grew at an annual rate of 12.0%; But industrial/medical use PCB 2008/2000 of the growth rate of 3.3%.
PCB industry shift to Asia
In 2009, according to relevant data analysis, most of the electronic product market growth rate is negative, the corresponding PCB market will shrink in 2009, this is necessity of the whole industry chain reaction.
Prismark through the use of a variety of technology analysis, think from 1998 ~ 2013 PCB as shown in figure 1, the development trend of the development of electronic machine, semiconductor, PCB curve are consistent, from the relative growth rate, with 1998 in 2008-2012, the development of the PCB with the development of the curve between 2000 ~ 2005 is similar to the previous troughs because IT bubbles, excess capacity, after a trough was brought about by the international financial crisis, demand is weak. In in 2010, the market is expected to moderate recovery, as the overall environment, PCB industry boom will also rise, but still have to wait until 2012 PCB production to have the opportunity to return to 2008 levels.
Each country/region after 2008 years the development of PCB industry as shown in figure 2, by the end of 2013, China will be the most developing countries, followed by Asian countries/regions (with the exception of China and Japan), Japan, Europe and the United States continue to maintain the output value of 2008.
From the development of different types of PCB, the MPP, encapsulation base plate, flexible circuit board will be the future growth of the largest species, 2008 ~ 2013 compound average annual growth rate will be 3.6%.
In recent years, after the electronics into the era of meager profit, global PCB production base from Europe and the United States, gradually transfer to the asia-pacific region, the region in the world still in strengthening the center of gravity of the printed circuit board production status, especially mainland China still maintained its development centre. In Asia (excluding Japan) of PCB production in high growth, mainly in mainland China, South Korea and China Taiwan, in 2008, the three important Asia PCB PCB production area total output value of 56.24% of the total output value of the PCB. But North America, Europe and Japan will continue to keep high complexity, high mixed, small volume of PCB PCB, PCB of military, aviation, medicine, electronic applications. Other consumer electronics PCB will continue to migrate to the asia-pacific.
In 2000-2008 global PCB industry shift to Asia, in 2000, American PCB production value $10.9 billion, $40.9 billion, 27% of the total output value of 2000 PCB European PCB production value of $6.7 billion, accounting for 16%, and Asia (except Japan) is only $12.1 billion, accounting for 30%. But by 2008, Asia (except Japan) PCB production value reached $30.4 billion, 63.1% of the total, Europe and the americas PCB share is below 10%, if combined with Japan, so the whole share has reached 84%, Asia PCB PCB industry has become the industry in Asia.
